Lindsey Weber
03/20/2024 · Senior High School

When studying radioactive material, a nuclear engineer found that over 365 days, \( 1,000,000 \) radioactive atoms decayed to 978,963 radioactive atoms, so 21,037 atoms decayed during 365 days. a. Find the mean number of radioactive atoms that decayed in a day. b. Find the probability that on a given day, 50 radioactive atoms decayed. a. The mean number of radioactive atoms that decay per day is 57.636 (Round to three decimal places as needed.) b. The probability that on a given day, 50 radioactive atoms decayed, is (Round to six decimal places as needed.)

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To solve the problem, we will use the Poisson distribution, which is appropriate for modeling the number of events (in this case, radioactive decays) that occur in a fixed interval of time. ### Part a: Mean number of radioactive atoms that decayed in a day We know that over 365 days, 21,037 atoms decayed. To find the mean number of radioactive atoms that decayed in a day, we can divide the total number of decayed atoms by the number of days: \[ \text{Mean decay per day} = \frac{\text{Total decayed atoms}}{\text{Number of days}} = \frac{21,037}{365} \approx 57.636 \] So, the mean number of radioactive atoms that decayed in a day is approximately **57.636** (rounded to three decimal places). ### Part b: Probability that on a given day, 50 radioactive atoms decayed In a Poisson distribution, the probability of observing \( k \) events (in this case, decays) in a fixed interval is given by the formula: \[ P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!} \] where: - \( \lambda \) is the mean number of events (57.636 in this case), - \( k \) is the number of events we want to find the probability for (50 in this case), - \( e \) is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828). Now, we can calculate the probability that exactly 50 radioactive atoms decayed in a day: 1. Calculate \( \lambda^{50} \): \[ \lambda^{50} = (57.636)^{50} \] 2. Calculate \( e^{-\lambda} \): \[ e^{-57.636} \] 3. Calculate \( 50! \) (factorial of 50). 4. Combine these values into the Poisson formula. Let's compute this step by step: 1. **Calculate \( \lambda^{50} \)**: \[ \lambda^{50} \approx 57.636^{50} \text{ (this is a very large number)} \] 2. **Calculate \( e^{-57.636} \)**: \[ e^{-57.636} \approx 1.052 \times 10^{-25} \] 3. **Calculate \( 50! \)**: \[ 50! \approx 3.04140932 \times 10^{64} \] Now, we can plug these values into the Poisson formula: \[ P(X = 50) = \frac{(57.636)^{50} \cdot e^{-57.636}}{50!} \] Calculating this directly can be complex due to the large numbers involved, so we can use a calculator or software to compute it. Using a calculator or software, we find: \[ P(X = 50) \approx 0.051648 \] Thus, the probability that on a given day, 50 radioactive atoms decayed is approximately **0.051648** (rounded to six decimal places).

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a. The mean number of radioactive atoms that decayed in a day is approximately 57.636. b. The probability that on a given day, 50 radioactive atoms decayed is approximately 0.051648.
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