Beck Lewis
11/04/2023 · Middle School

A large city passed a new tax on sugary beverages. A few months after the tax goes into effect, the mayor wants to use social media to learn about how residents feel about the tax. The mayor creates a poll on Twitter and invites residents to share how they feel about the new tax. About \( 70 \% \) of responses oppose the new tax. Which of these is the best explanation for why this result is probably biased?

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The result is likely biased because the method of collecting responses through a Twitter poll may not represent the entire population of the city's residents. Here are a few reasons why this could lead to bias: 1. **Self-Selection Bias**: People who feel strongly about the tax (either positively or negatively) are more likely to participate in the poll. Those who are indifferent or have no strong opinion may choose not to respond, leading to an overrepresentation of opposition. 2. **Demographic Skew**: Twitter users may not reflect the demographics of the entire city. Certain age groups, socioeconomic statuses, or communities may be more active on Twitter, which could skew the results. 3. **Limited Reach**: Not all residents may have access to Twitter or may not use it regularly, which means that the opinions of those who do not use the platform are not captured in the poll. 4. **Echo Chamber Effect**: Social media platforms can create echo chambers where users are exposed primarily to opinions that align with their own, potentially amplifying opposition to the tax. Overall, the method of using a Twitter poll to gauge public opinion is likely to yield biased results due to these factors, making it an unreliable measure of how the entire population feels about the sugary beverage tax.

Quick Answer

The poll is probably biased because it's on Twitter, which may not represent all city residents, and people who strongly feel about the tax are more likely to participate.
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