West Lambert
03/13/2023 · Middle School
\( 1 \leftarrow \) Assume that when human resource managers are randomly selected, \( 52 \% \) say job applicants should follow up within two weeks. If 10 human resource managers are randomly selected, find the probability that fewer than 3 of them say job applicants should follow up within two weeks The probability is (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
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Step-by-step Solution
To solve this problem, we can use the binomial probability formula. The scenario describes a binomial distribution where:
- \( n = 10 \) (the number of trials, or human resource managers selected)
- \( p = 0.52 \) (the probability of success, which is the probability that a manager says job applicants should follow up within two weeks)
- \( k \) (the number of successes, which in this case is the number of managers who say applicants should follow up)
We want to find the probability that fewer than 3 managers say job applicants should follow up within two weeks, which means we need to calculate \( P(X < 3) \). This can be expressed as:
\[
P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
\]
The binomial probability formula is given by:
\[
P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}
\]
where \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient, calculated as:
\[
\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}
\]
Now, we will calculate \( P(X = 0) \), \( P(X = 1) \), and \( P(X = 2) \).
### Step 1: Calculate \( P(X = 0) \)
\[
P(X = 0) = \binom{10}{0} (0.52)^0 (0.48)^{10} = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot (0.48)^{10}
\]
Calculating \( (0.48)^{10} \):
\[
(0.48)^{10} \approx 0.006044
\]
So,
\[
P(X = 0) \approx 0.006044
\]
### Step 2: Calculate \( P(X = 1) \)
\[
P(X = 1) = \binom{10}{1} (0.52)^1 (0.48)^{9} = 10 \cdot 0.52 \cdot (0.48)^{9}
\]
Calculating \( (0.48)^{9} \):
\[
(0.48)^{9} \approx 0.012605
\]
So,
\[
P(X = 1) \approx 10 \cdot 0.52 \cdot 0.012605 \approx 0.0656
\]
### Step 3: Calculate \( P(X = 2) \)
\[
P(X = 2) = \binom{10}{2} (0.52)^2 (0.48)^{8} = 45 \cdot (0.52)^2 \cdot (0.48)^{8}
\]
Calculating \( (0.48)^{8} \):
\[
(0.48)^{8} \approx 0.026315
\]
So,
\[
P(X = 2) \approx 45 \cdot (0.52)^2 \cdot 0.026315
\]
Calculating \( (0.52)^2 \):
\[
(0.52)^2 = 0.2704
\]
Now,
\[
P(X = 2) \approx 45 \cdot 0.2704 \cdot 0.026315 \approx 0.3241
\]
### Step 4: Combine the probabilities
Now we can sum these probabilities:
\[
P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
\]
\[
P(X < 3) \approx 0.006044 + 0.0656 + 0.3241 \approx 0.3957
\]
### Final Answer
Thus, the probability that fewer than 3 of the selected human resource managers say job applicants should follow up within two weeks is approximately:
\[
\boxed{0.3957}
\]
Quick Answer
The probability is approximately 0.3957.
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