West Lambert
03/13/2023 · Middle School

\( 1 \leftarrow \) Assume that when human resource managers are randomly selected, \( 52 \% \) say job applicants should follow up within two weeks. If 10 human resource managers are randomly selected, find the probability that fewer than 3 of them say job applicants should follow up within two weeks The probability is (Round to four decimal places as needed.)

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To solve this problem, we can use the binomial probability formula. The scenario describes a binomial distribution where: - \( n = 10 \) (the number of trials, or human resource managers selected) - \( p = 0.52 \) (the probability of success, which is the probability that a manager says job applicants should follow up within two weeks) - \( k \) (the number of successes, which in this case is the number of managers who say applicants should follow up) We want to find the probability that fewer than 3 managers say job applicants should follow up within two weeks, which means we need to calculate \( P(X < 3) \). This can be expressed as: \[ P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) \] The binomial probability formula is given by: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \] where \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient, calculated as: \[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \] Now, we will calculate \( P(X = 0) \), \( P(X = 1) \), and \( P(X = 2) \). ### Step 1: Calculate \( P(X = 0) \) \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{10}{0} (0.52)^0 (0.48)^{10} = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot (0.48)^{10} \] Calculating \( (0.48)^{10} \): \[ (0.48)^{10} \approx 0.006044 \] So, \[ P(X = 0) \approx 0.006044 \] ### Step 2: Calculate \( P(X = 1) \) \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{10}{1} (0.52)^1 (0.48)^{9} = 10 \cdot 0.52 \cdot (0.48)^{9} \] Calculating \( (0.48)^{9} \): \[ (0.48)^{9} \approx 0.012605 \] So, \[ P(X = 1) \approx 10 \cdot 0.52 \cdot 0.012605 \approx 0.0656 \] ### Step 3: Calculate \( P(X = 2) \) \[ P(X = 2) = \binom{10}{2} (0.52)^2 (0.48)^{8} = 45 \cdot (0.52)^2 \cdot (0.48)^{8} \] Calculating \( (0.48)^{8} \): \[ (0.48)^{8} \approx 0.026315 \] So, \[ P(X = 2) \approx 45 \cdot (0.52)^2 \cdot 0.026315 \] Calculating \( (0.52)^2 \): \[ (0.52)^2 = 0.2704 \] Now, \[ P(X = 2) \approx 45 \cdot 0.2704 \cdot 0.026315 \approx 0.3241 \] ### Step 4: Combine the probabilities Now we can sum these probabilities: \[ P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) \] \[ P(X < 3) \approx 0.006044 + 0.0656 + 0.3241 \approx 0.3957 \] ### Final Answer Thus, the probability that fewer than 3 of the selected human resource managers say job applicants should follow up within two weeks is approximately: \[ \boxed{0.3957} \]

Quick Answer

The probability is approximately 0.3957.
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