Burgess Hamilton
12/16/2023 · Elementary School

Suppose that \( 30 \% \) of bottles produced in a certain plant are defective. If a bottle is defective, the probability is 0.9 that an inspector will notice it and remove it from the filing line. If a bottle is not defective, the probability is 0.2 that the inspector will think it is defective and remove it from the line. (i) If a bottle is removed from the line, what is the probability that it is defective? (ii) if a customer buys a bottle that has not been removed from the line, what is the probability that it is defective? (iii) If a customer buys one bottle at a time until two defective bottles are found, find the probability that he needs to buy 10 bottles.

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(i) The probability that a removed bottle is defective is approximately 0.6585. (ii) The probability that a bottle not removed from the line is defective is approximately 0.0508. (iii) The probability that a customer needs to buy 10 bottles to find 2 defective bottles is approximately 0.04683.

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